Monday, December 26, 2022

Antecedents

I have been fixated on the expression - an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure - but in this case applied to our national politics, particularly the Big Lie and the events in and around 1/6.  The rhetoric from the House Committee recently mentioned that their purpose was in large part to prevent a situation like this from happening again.  I have no quibbles with that.  But they seemed to contain their investigation to the time interval between the November election and the events in question.  What about earlier? Wouldn’t that be where to look for that ounce of prevention?

The House Committee itself was likely constrained from doing so. They already had quite a bit on their plate with getting detailed information about more contemporaneous events that were clearly within the scope of their investigation.  Looking at earlier events would open them up to accusations of overreach and thereby lessen the impact of their findings.  But that shouldn’t prevent others from doing so, if only in a speculative manner.  I’m going to do some of that in the rest of this post.

There are questions that immediately pop up in doing this.  How far back should one go?  What sort of events should one look for to find some prevention?   I don’t have great answers to these questions.  What I feel comfortable saying here is that as a rule we are not very prescient.  Thus, taking the prevention soon before it is needed is desirable, if possible.  But if the event doesn’t provide much in the way of prevention then one must look elsewhere; quite possibly one must look earlier.

The event I will focus on is the first Impeachment and Senate Trial of Donald Trump.  In doing this analysis, I will rely on this explanatory piece from Vox, which I found helpful to understand things, although on one key point I will take issue with what they say.

https://www.vox.com/c/2020/2/6/20914280/impeachment-trump-explained

I will assume that the House Impeached Trump, as actually happened.  But then we’ll consider the counter factual, where the Senate finds Trump guilty.  The questions we’ll consider are these:

1)  Would a guilty verdict serve as an effective preventive, in the sense discussed above?

2) Assuming that Pence would become President after a guilty verdict in the Senate, what would be the likely consequences of that?

3) Given the answers to both #1 and #2, would enough Republican Senators rationally vote for a guilty verdict that such a verdict is obtained?

In considering each of these questions there is a lot of uncertainty to reckon with.  So answers certainly shouldn’t be considered as definitive and probably are closer to pure speculation.  Nonetheless, I think that working through to those answers is useful, which is why I’m writing this post.  

In my recollection, there was little blowback from Trump about the first Impeachment, though perhaps that was because he had assurances that the Senate would find him innocent.  Surely there would be substantially more blowback if he thought a guilty verdict were possible and even more blowback if he thought such a verdict was likely.

Given the nature of the crime he was charged with, there would be no Big Lie. Instead, the blowback would likely focus on the Deep State.  While this might do damage to the “national fabric” l think there would be far less damage than has happened under the Big Lie.

What about collateral damage from MAGA types who are coordinated by Trump?  We should expect some of that, but how much of it will be harder to determine.  Here is what can be readily determined.

During the actual Senate trial, no witnesses were called. The duration of the trial was less than the two months between the November election and 1/6.  If a guilty verdict had been a serious possibility, witnesses would have been called.  This would lengthen the trial, giving Trump and the MAGA types more time to , coordinate and a larger time window in which to identify a date for disruptive action.

As to whether other dates might offer similar opportunities for disruption as to what happened on 1/6, I really can’t say.  I’m out of my element here. But my guess is that when in the calendar the disruption happens should matter. During regular work weeks when most students are in school, the opportunities for disruption lessen.  

If that’s right, then a guilty verdict would offer some prevention but not full prevention.  And then we surely would quibble about how much prevention it would offer.  Let me leave it there and move onto the next question.

Ruth Bader Ginsburg was still alive during that first Impeachment trial.  If Pence became President at the trial’s conclusion, there is then the question of what he would do regarding filling her seat on the Supreme Court after she passed.  Would he not nominate anyone and leave that choice to the next President?  Or would he do as Trump had done and nominate a very Conservative candidate?  

Then there is the matter of the 2020 election. Presumably, Pence would be the Republican candidate for President.  I suspect he would be regarded as a weak candidate.  The perceived impact on downstream races would be negative. Of course, the voter perception of Trump’s guilt matters.  

Let’s keep that voter perception as separate from his actual guilt or innocence. (The Vox piece argues that he actually was guilty.)  Republican voters and Democratic voters will differ in their perceptions.  And among the Republican voters there might be substantial variation in perception. 

As I write this I’m trying to recall my attitude to Gerald Ford when he became President. Everyone I knew hated Nixon.  But I’m convinced that if Ford hadn’t pardoned Nixon he would have won the election in 1976. Likewise, might a Pence Presidency experience goodwill across the board?  That seems possible, though how likely that would be I really don’t know.

The upshot is that on purely political grounds, keeping Trump as President looks like a safer play to a Republican Senator. The Vox article is useful in reminding us that the Democrats in the House were also political in not having an Impeachment based on the Mueller Report because it didn’t say explicitly that crimes were committed. This in spite of the fact that the public was much more aware of Mueller’s investigation than they were of Trump’s manipulations with Zelenskyy. (Vox blamed this on Mueller being a Republican.  I think the real blame lies in the charge Rod Rosenstein gave to Mueller not to look at Trump’s financial dealings with Russia. Plus Barr may have indicated to Mueller to tone down the language in the Report if the findings were suggestive rather than definitive.)

I suppose that the best we can expect is for Members of Congress to have dual motives in the Impeachment process. One would be to seek truth.  The other would be to follow political inclinations.  And one might also hope that the severity of the crime determines which motive wins out.

But that is just a hope

If we return to what actually happened, it appears that Senate Republicans whitewashed the Impeachment trial.  That makes it seem there was a conspiracy between them and Trump.  If that is correct, the amount of preventative in the Impeachment itself is essentially nil.

* * * * *

I think there is a logical problem in considering Trump as the source of the problem but then ignoring the role played by Republicans in Congress in enabling Trump.  An effective preventative needs to deter such enablement.

In the novelette that I have recently written, I try to work through this idea.  But it is fiction rather than an essay, or a series of essays, because some of the ideas seem so improbable that they will strain credulity, especially at first.  The reader needs to get past that to give the full set of ideas a fair hearing.

https://uofi.box.com/s/c9ufajuqt8to9k0paqvbdpwc8k52920r


Wednesday, December 21, 2022

So Much For Sunlight As A Disinfectant

The fix is in
He said with a grin
So let the doctors spin
While the rest sigh with chagrin.

Manipulation
Now a sensation
Has been killing the nation
Since well before its creation.
#TheHouseOfCardsAndOtherCanards

Tuesday, December 20, 2022

Past Tense or Present Tense

Sometimes people need to know you're thinking about them
Other times though, probably not
Which is which can cause mental mayhem
But avoids their special day that you forgot.
#KeepingACalendarInYourHeadASourceOfWonderAndOfDread

Thursday, December 15, 2022

Sunday Brunch Every Day Of The Week

The bagel asked the lox
How come you don't wear socks?
The lox then got snide
How, in the cream cheese, could I hide?
#CaloriesGaloreWhatTheHolidaysAreFor

Wednesday, December 14, 2022

My Novelette - Adventures Of The Minute Women

I have now finished a complete a draft of my novelette - Adventures Of The Minute Women. The screen shot will give you a quick idea of what it is about. If you give it a read, I would appreciate getting your impression. Is the core hypothesis believable or not? If it's not you can stop there. If it is, there are follow up questions you might consider.

To find the various chapters go to the Navigating The Site Tab here:
https://adventuresoftheminutewomen.blogspot.com/

The chapters (and notes) are available either in blog format or in PDF format. The latter has page numbers. The former is just a scroll.


 

Tuesday, December 13, 2022

Spying The Finish Line

Getting near the close of a project
Which for a while has been my object
Now out of the woods
And armed with the goods
The last bit I surely won't neglect.
#HereIsACheerForTheEndIsNear

Monday, December 12, 2022

When Recall Is Not At All

Trying to remember a rhyme
Composed well after bedtime
But to no avail
It was an utter fail
Lost in the jungle of the mental slime.
#WillHaveToWaitTillReincarnation

Tuesday, December 06, 2022

How Do You Know You're On The Right Track?

The right answer
To the wrong question
It won't give you cancer
Though perhaps indigestion.

Problem solving is easy
Problem identification is hard
Rather than feel queasy
Go ask The Bard.
#AreWeThereYetAndRelatedSentiments

Monday, December 05, 2022

Fear Itself

Working up the courage to write
Avoidance a sign of the fright
You'd think feeling dull
Would offer a lull
But it means things really aren't right.
#WritersBlockAndOtherSchlock

Sunday, December 04, 2022

Bird Brains

The hootie owl
Continued his howl
For while not a fowl
He wouldn't throw in the towel

Which others who heard
Found completely absurd
For they would have preferred
That this bird be deterred.
#TheSoundsOfInsomnia

Monday, November 28, 2022

The Post-Holiday Diet

A very straightforward deduction
It's time for calories reduction
Draw the line
With water not wine
And avoid the pull of leftovers suction.
#TheNewYearsResolutionAMonthEarly

Thursday, November 24, 2022

Food For Thought

A turkey
Made from beef jerky
Might very well be murky.

But a candied yam
Made from jam
Would be totally glam.
#ItIsAGoodThingThatIAmNotDoingTheCooking

Tuesday, November 22, 2022

The Morning Routine Is Anything But

What's next? One seems to constantly ask
The trick in ordering early AM tasks
Easy to do
Or a pleasure for you
Afterwards you wonder should you wear a mask?
#AsOneGrowsOldTheStoryMustBeRetold

Sunday, November 20, 2022

A Bit Of Silly Offered Willy-Nilly

Ratman and Bobbin went out for a spin
This was on Bizzaro World where the criminals win
So while they saw a Green Goblin as they motored along
Instead of fighting him they broke into song.
#DoDoDoDoDoDoDoDo

Saturday, November 19, 2022

The Relationship Between Performance And Confidence

When the answer suddenly appears
Self-doubt seemingly disappears
But when you are evidently stuck
Perhaps you've used up your quota of good luck.
#EitherWayItIsStillYou

Friday, November 18, 2022

Sometimes You Just Have To Cheat

A great injustice in the world
What words count in the Spelling Bee and which don't
Rally the troops with flags unfurled
Get them to change their policy even though they won't.
#AWordNotInTheDictionaryNonethelessWasAccepted

Tuesday, November 15, 2022

The Morning Routine Is Clearly Obscene

An eye drop falls on my forehead
Evidently the dropper was misaligned
Taking drops in the morning I truly dread
For one's limitations readily become defined.
#ThisComesAfterSoManyThrillsFromTakingThePills

Monday, November 14, 2022

A Dirge for the Online I Once Knew

Web 2.0
Wikis and Blogs
Where did the promise go
How much does the bile now clog?

Why did early ideals
Mask the subsequent reality?
The way things used to feel
Lacked prognostication with clarity.
#TheInternetSoMuchPromiseButNowRegret

Sunday, November 13, 2022

Oh Man or Omen

A rhyme you wrote isn't there
About recreating it should you care
Or should what you do
Be to start anew
Even if not finding it made for a big scare?
#WasItAllADreamOrAnAccidentalDeletion

Saturday, November 12, 2022

How Much Of Our Lore Is The Survival Metaphor?

The fox and the hound
Went round after round
Stopping only for bagels and lox
And then after, to change their socks.

Nobody can know
How long they will go
Nor that losing the chase
Is surely no disgrace.

Running and hiding
And on your feet deciding
Which way to go next
Is bound to leave you perplexed.

For the predator and the prey
It's always been this way
But for you and for me
Must it be our history?
#IfChasingOurOwnTailsWouldItMatterWhoPrevails


Thursday, November 10, 2022

When WYSIWYG Doesn't Hold At The Grocery Store

The slice of tomato
Said to the slice of cheddar
"When we are together
It makes things better."

The cheddar reflected
And only then replied
"If we have food coloring
Then actually we dyed."
#DoesFoodAppearanceAffectFoodTaste

Saturday, November 05, 2022

Reconsidering Our Own World View

When sarcasm
Supplants enthusiasm
It creates a chasm
And in the mind, a spasm.

A simple good deed
Is what we need
To stop all the greed
Yes, indeed.

So put the self
Upon the shelf
Then perhaps in stealth
Share the wealth.
#TheAnswerIsEasyStickingWithItIsNot

Friday, November 04, 2022

When Escapism Becomes A Burden

Would it be an innovation
To have two Wordles a day?
Might it cause a sensation
Or make it other than play?
#HavingFunOrUnderTheGun

Wednesday, November 02, 2022

Anti Sosh All Sigh Ants

Once poly sigh

Was the big guy

Now it’s prop a gander

Most miss understand her.

#BrainWashingHasASpinCycle

Saturday, October 29, 2022

Screwing Around Captures The High Ground

People are in search of mirth
Of which there is a dearth
And if what's offered up is pun-ny
They'll like it even if it's not funny.
#FindingJoyWithAWordPlayToy

Thursday, October 27, 2022

It's A Puzzlement

The Emperor's new clothes
Display his adipose.
So why do you suppose
It is that which he chose?
#MirrorMirrorOnTheWallWhoWillHaveTheGreatestFall

Monday, October 24, 2022

Thoughts About The Yankees

It is interesting to note that Joe Girardi was the Phillies manager at the start of the season, when they were floundering.  Of course, Girardi had previously been the Yankees manager.  The Yankees did win the World Series back in 2009, but there has been a drought since.  You have to wonder whether managing the Yankees becomes unlike managing other teams, because of the overwhelming media attention, in which case it is inevitable to manage not to lose, rather than to win.  At the time the Yankees let Girardi go, there was talk about him being distant from his players.  I'm belaboring this bit of history, because I wonder if something similar happened to Aaron Boone.  The talk in Twitter is about bringing in Mattingly and Jeter to replace Boone and Cashman (GM).   But I haven't seen anyone talk about the pressurized environment that they operate under.  Can anything be done about that?  I don't know, but I'd like to see some chatter about that. 

I actually think that Cashman did quite a good job this year/last year.  Trading for Harrison Bader late in the season was a great deal.  Likewise, trading for Andrew Benintendi was the right move, though he got hurt and was entirely out of the playoffs.  Together they eliminated the Yankees outfield woes plus Benintendi could bat leadoff, filling the slot that DJ LeMahieu normally fills.  That both of these players ended up not participating in the playoffs was a definite problem, but it can't be blamed on Cashman.  

The one trade I wasn't happy about was getting Josh Donaldson in the preseason.  I would have preferred it had the Yankees kept Gio Urshela.  But it was a package deal and trading Gary Sanchez was a big thing as just a few years earlier he was viewed as the future of the Yankees.  Yankees catching, from a defensive point of view, definitely ticked upward with the acquisition of Jose Trevino.  

Overall - it seems to me that Cashman did a very good job during the past year.  I feel less good about Aaron Boone's performance for the following reasons.

There were mental mistakes made by players who don't normally make them.  This showed up mainly on defense.  Aaron Judge running in front of Harrison Bader right before the baseball landed in Bader's glove, which he then dropped for an error, was perhaps the most egregious example.  Bader surely had been instructed to take all the balls he could reach in left center field, to take the pressure off of Giancarlo Stanton. What were the instructions for Bader and Judge about the balls hit to right center field?  That Judge made an apparent mistake suggests the instructions weren't clear to him, or the matter hadn't been previously addressed.  Preparation of the players is ultimately a managerial responsibility.  The stress of the playoffs is likely to inadvertently reveal where the players are under prepared.  This was one glaring instance.

There was also the revolving door about who plays shortstop.  I didn't understand that, but evidently Boone lost his faith in Kiner-Falefa, the regular shortstop for the entire season.  The substituting at that position during the playoffs looked bush-league to me.  Indirectly, I think it was why there was an error on a double-play ball hit to Gleyber Torres, who made a gentle toss to the bag, but Kiner-Falefa had already scooted past the bag; I suppose to avoid contact with the base runner.  That was a backbreaking play.  Again, I think ultimate responsibility for it goes to the manager.

The Yankees had a Jekyll and Hyde year.  Was it injuries that explained the big drop off in performance around mid season?  And did the Yankees have an unusually high number of injuries?  Or was something else going on?  The team that appeared in the playoffs was some combination of the early excellence and the later dismal performer. So the real question is whether the early excellence can return and, if so, can it last for a full season?  

I want to make on more note, this time about Aaron Judge, and compare him to Alex Bregman.  Judge has a huge swing and there is a definite upper cut in it.  Bregman has a much shorter stroke and his swing is flatter. Judge has clearly developed his swing over several years.  It seems designed to produce the long ball, making contact is a secondary concern.  Judge obviously did make a lot of contact during the season, as evidenced by his high batting average.  But he didn't do it in the playoffs.  Either the home run chase took too much out of him to recover from that, or against good pitching the swing Judge has is less reliable.  It makes you wonder.

Sunday, October 23, 2022

The Seeds of Dis Chord

When your treasure drives you insane
So that your pleasure becomes your pain
Maybe it's time to sup
And then lighten up
Measure to measure we need a new refrain.
#VerySoonWeNeedADifferentTune

Saturday, October 22, 2022

Aspiring To Be Dorothy Parker

The real difference between boys and girls
Is how they rank order swine and pearls
A pigskin is fine
For crossing the goal line
But for a gem of a phrase, the flag unfurls.
#GettingPastThePhaseWhenTheCleverPhraseCatchesUsInADaze

Tuesday, October 18, 2022

How Often Should You Blog?

When you have something to say
Then a blog post per day
Is surely the "write" way.

But if you're prone to stew
Then what you must do
Is frequent writing eschew.

To produce the occasional insight
Then one must continue to write
Tho perhaps with lower wattage
For the bulb used in the Aha! light.

Monday, October 17, 2022

The Guardians Versus The Yankees Tonight

A series that goes the full five games
With ups and down and a pitcher who tames
Batters who are hot and swing for the fences
Causing fans to utter expletives in past and future tenses.
#TonightsGameStartsAHalfHourEarlier



Sunday, October 16, 2022

A Closer, A Closer, My Kingdom For A Closer

The disappointment in being a fan
When the outcome deviates from plan
It's very much like experiencing grief
Where the Yankees' pitching needs better relief.
#ThereIsAnotherGameTonightAndIWillBeWatching

Saturday, October 15, 2022

A Bluff And Related Stuff

When randomizing the traditional action
Is simply to flip a coin
Yet a probability is merely a fraction
Then what with this method gets purloined?
#WhenYouDontWantOthersToSeeTheRandomOutcome


Friday, October 14, 2022

Caring For One's Parents As They Age

First limitations
Then a lack of transcendence
Become frustrations
Passed on to the dependents.
#ThinkingOfMomAndDadAsITurnIntoThem

Thursday, October 13, 2022

A Red Letter Day

What if Kurt Gödel
Were to play Wordle
While wearing a girdle
Would that be absurd-el?
#OrWouldItSimplyBeIncomplete

Tuesday, October 11, 2022

A Knight In Rusty Armor

Finding the right life balance
Requires a variety of different talents
A bad joke if you please
Puts everyone at ease
While a damsel in distress needs gallants.
#AndPrayThereIsntAnEscapadeThatRequiresFallingOnAGrenade

Monday, October 10, 2022

The Humble Beginnings Of Creation

A writer is doing his penance
Idea fragments yet not a full sentence
For he must first pay
For what he will say
Only then will his word house have tenants.
#TheScatteredBrainShouldNotComplain

Sunday, October 09, 2022

Life on a Chessboard

Having always been a pawn
I instinctively wanted to move to King-Four
And do so slightly after dawn

While not knowing what I’m doing it for.

#InARhymeYouCanEndASentenceInAPreposition

Saturday, October 08, 2022

Marnie

Tippi Hedren

Took an Excedrin

Though her headache continued to linger

While Sean Connery
Played the con on Marnie

After slipping a ring upon her finger.

#AnotherGreatHitchcockMovie

Friday, October 07, 2022

Bullwinkle Is Coming

The squirrels are taking over
From the tall trees to the clover
Spy you they do
Enough to eschew
When near the sidewalk as they crossover.
#AsIGetOlderTheyGetBolder

Thursday, October 06, 2022

Saggy

Skin that droops
Posture that stoops
The gray and the wrinkles
And the omnipresent tinkles.
#PerhapsAMetaphorForTheStateOfOurCountry

Monday, October 03, 2022

Male Fail (A Gender Bender)

This post is a reaction to the column by David Brooks from last Friday called The Crisis of Men and Boys.  Brooks, in turn, is commenting on a recent book by Richard Reeves called Of Boys and Men: Why the Modern Male Is Struggling, Why It Matters, and What to Do about It.  I have not read the book yet and I'm undecided whether I will do that.  Reading about dismal things is not good for my own psyche.  So here I'm just going to make a few observations and then stop.

First, I already was aware of how male children of parents who have at most a high school education are struggling now.  This can readily be attributed to the decline in manufacturing and the concomitant decline in private sector unions, so the evident scarcity of decent well paying jobs that call for manual labor.  I think the country botched this terribly, both on the left and on the right, though for quite different reasons.  I do think it is fixable.  Better late than never.

Second, I was surprised that there were similar gender differences among the elite students, though this might be quite a different phenomenon than the one mentioned in the previous paragraph. Single parent households are less common for this group.  But having a helicopter parent probably happens fairly frequently with this sub-population and having the kids be over programmed is part and parcel of that.  Indeed, the whole Excellent Sheep phenomenon might be explained this way. If you asked whether there are gender differences among children as far as being obedient to parents, irrespective of whether the kids are high academic achievers or not, I'm not sure where I'd come down on that one.  And that sort of thing might depend on the generation when the kids went to school.  It also might depend on the culture/religion/nationality of the parents. But it wouldn't surprise me too much for gender to matter in aggregate.

Third, which is cause and which is effect might be hard to sort here, but there is no doubt that increased income and wealth inequality in the society overall is related to viewing school as a passport to well paying jobs and GPA as an important component of that.  This view existed even when I was in high school, but it clearly has intensified since.  In the current jargon, there is emphasis on extrinsic motivation in school and, in turn, that reduces consideration of intrinsic motivation (curiosity, passion for the subject matter) that might better promote learning.   With the focus on extrinsic motivation, school becomes something of an artificial game.  I'm guessing that it still affords an avenue for self-expression for some kids, as it did for me, but they are comparatively few.  The rest get jaded, because playing an artificial game makes it appear that nothing really matters.  Are there gender differences among those who can function amidst the artifice?  I suppose there are.

Fourth, this one may be less popular to mention these days but I believe school teachers are of lower quality now as compared to when I was in school because, especially for women teachers, there weren't many other paths for having a decent job when I was in school, but now there are.  And teaching is paid comparatively poorly now.  If earnings drive career choice, there is an obvious selection issue as to who becomes a teacher.  Nowadays, teachers may not be well equipped to accommodate students who don't seem engaged in class activities or to get them a specialist to deal with their learning disability.

Fifth, there may be a differential effect that technology plays on children.  I'm thinking particularly of video games and whether the skills learned in that domain are useful for school.  When my younger son was still in elementary school, he became very absorbed with Age of Empires and learned a lot of historical facts that way.  It gave him an interest in history for a while which was satisfied by watching shows on the History Channel. But he also developed a belief that learning should happen in a snap. Slower and more deliberate learning eluded him as a consequence.  Then, of course, there were all these other games that were either a race or a battle against some competition.  The games were absorbing, but might not have much to offer outside the gaming environment.  I don't know how this goes with girl children (both of my kids are boys).  But I can readily imagine gender differences here.

Let me wrap up with a thought experiment.  How would my cohort from elementary school, junior high, and high school fare if they started first grade in the late 1990s or early 2000s rather than in the early 1960s, but they had the same parents.  (How the parents would have adjusted to the times is outside the thought experiment).  In particular, would I have failed in school or done pretty much the same as I did back then?   I did have quite a lot of trouble with "fine motor activities".  For example, threading a needle was a challenge for me.  At school this manifest mainly via poor handwriting.  But I was either extraordinarily fortunate or socially adept in some way to make good friends within the school environment and I was able to learn a lot from my friends this way.  Would that skill have been impeded if I started school 40 years later?  If so, would it be the loneliness that would do me in and perhaps impede my academic performance?  Or would it be more evident that I'm an introvert and could be okay learning on my own?  I don't know, but I think this sort of thought experiment useful for others to consider, before focusing on remedies.  We tend to look for solutions before we understand the problem we're trying to solve. We shouldn't do that here.

Monday, September 12, 2022

Combining Forms

Double Helix
Oscar and Felix
A twisted pair that's odd
On a path well trod.

Antimatter
Auntie Mame
A topic of occasional chatter
And once upon a time considerable fame.

Sylvester the Cat
Sylvester Stallone
A predator comes up flat
While a southpaw finds a bone.

Gerrymander
Jerry Mathers
Voting districts meander
As Eddie Haskell blathers.

Thursday, September 08, 2022

Meritocracy - My Take

This post is a response to a recent opinion piece in the New York Times entitled School Is for Merit, by Asra Q. Nomani.  As over the years I've written a lot about education, mostly about higher ed but then sometimes about K-12 as well, here I'm mainly going to excerpt from previous pieces and then provide the links to the full piece as well.  Since readers sometime comment that I'm prolix in writing these blog posts, let me cut to the chase and only after that make my full argument. 

There is much dysfunction in education these days.  I'm certainly not the first to note it.  This dysfunction exists even at schools in upper middle class and wealthy school districts.  The dysfunction is the core issue that needs remedy, which will not be simple to consider nor to implement.  The system may do well by a very small fraction of the students, but it is failing many others, including those with high GPAs. Talking about meritocracy, the way Ms. Nomani does, is applying a surface solution that won't fix the underlying problem.  I am not writing to defend recent changes that she takes up (e.g. dropping the requirement of standardized test scores for college admission).  Those too provide a surface solution.   Let's talk about the underlying issues and see if we can agree on those.   That's my aim below. 

* * * * * 

The following is an excerpt from a post called The double-edged sword we refer to as 'high expectations' and gets at a fundamental issue when grades become prominent.  The post was written at the end of the fall semester in 2015.  I struggled with that class.  In the previous three years teaching. the course had been more rewarding. 

First and foremost is the question whether ordinary students are willing to endure the frequent failure that is necessary for real learning.  Two reasons why they may not are: (1) potential damage to the GPA in so doing and (2) potential damage to the student's ego from feeling embarrassed by being awkward in front of others - classmates and especially the teacher.

As to (1), real learning takes as long as it takes.  On the other hand, exams happen at times scheduled well in advance.  One explanation for why students memorize in advance of exams is that it seems a more reliable approach for readying oneself against the vicissitudes of the exam, while containing the readying activity to a manageable time period. In turn, such students then grow to expect the instructor to teach to the test, so when such expectations are confirmed memorizing the lecture notes ends up indeed being good preparation.  There is also that this becomes a learned behavior (in the sense of habit formation) so even in those circumstances where the instructor offers up questions on the exam that follow only indirectly from the lectures, many students will still prepare as they have in their other courses, for lack of a viable alternative.

The above is an indirect argument that grades are pernicious in encouraging real learning with ordinary students, as too many of them will opt for the self-protection described in the previous paragraph, when the grade consequences are sufficiently severe.  Alternatively, it can be taken as an argument in support of grade inflation.  If students are convinced they will do reasonably well grade-wise as long as they attain a minimal performance standard - e.g., showing up and being counted - then they have less need to self-protect via memorization and might be more willing to go through the steps it takes to produce real learning.  This gets us to (2).

If a student is not self-conscious, then it is possible the student will be oblivious to the risk of failure.  In turn, that lack of self-consciousness can lead to deep learning as the student gets fully absorbed in the subject matter.  It may be the honors students differ from regular students mostly in this lack of self-consciousness and hence in their ability to concentrate. For a student who is self-conscious and who does fear failure as a consequence, a different approach is needed if the student is to engage in real learning.  The student must be convinced that failure is no big deal.  Failure is just an ordinary part of learning, necessary early steps if you will. The way to convince students of this is to create a safe space in which students are encouraged to fail and fail often, all as part of the larger process.

This post followed one I had written a few years earlier entitled, Why does memorization persist as the primary way that students study for exams?

The hypothesis, not particularly novel or really much of a surprise but I've never seen it expressed quite this way, is that The Disengagement Compact, George Kuh's aptly put but discouraging label for the unholy implicit contract between students and instructor, where no party is burdened much at all while all parties get to reside in a virtual Lake Woebegone, is manifest in a very particular way.  If the Disengagement Compact is the Devil making himself known in undergraduate education, then memorization is the Devil's disciple, an artifice for claiming both that learning is happening and that substantial effort in the name of learning is occurring.  Hardly anybody, after all, wants to be labeled a slacker.   Further, students want to resist the damning evidence of low grades.  So students somehow feel that they've been tasked by their instructors to memorize course content.  Many instructors indeed do task their students this way so as to satisfy student expectations and thereby avoid their enmity.  

I should have added here that course evaluations matter, more so for non-tenure-track faculty, whose jobs may depend on them.  If these instructors satisfy their students' grade expectations, they are apt to get tolerably good course evaluations.  This gives one real reason for why instructors participate in the implicit contract. 

Let me turn to a different learning issue, one that is highlighted in the book, Excellent Sheep, by William Deresiewicz, where he was writing about students at Yale who took an English class from him.  In my reframing of the issues considered there, students become excellent at jumping through hoops that elders (parents and teachers) set, but they never learn what pleases themselves other than purely hedonistic pleasure, so they surely don't learn what activities they should engage in that would produce this sense of pleasing themselves. They live in an artificial world created by the adults around them.  Inwardly, many are quite depressed, for life has no real meaning to them. 

In the process of reading Excellent Sheep, I wrote a post about my own experience in high school entitled, I was not a sheep. Were you?  I will not put an excerpt from that piece here, but the various factors I list are worth considering.  Since writing this post I've come to embrace the expression, the student has to drive the bus.   My belief is that if the student does this willingly and with sufficient commitment then deep learning will happen, life will then have meaning, and the dysfunction I mentioned at the outset will largely disappear.  The questions remains, how do we get there from here?

A student will drive the bus when the student is intrinsically motivated.  The dedicated instructor who wants to promote deep learning will then ask, how can I teach my class so as to intrinsically motivate my students?  Pretty soon after posing that question, the instructor will want to know about the relationship between extrinsic motivation and intrinsic motivation.   I consider this in a post called, Is Daniel Pink Confusing Us About Motivation And Economic Incentives?  This excerpt is from the post.

Main point of Dan Pink's talk: When we are already intrinsically motivated applying extrinsic motivation, in the form of reward for good behavior or punishment for bad behavior, is self-defeating because it detracts from the intrinsic motivation, a much more powerful force.

I completely agree with this point. When intrinsically motivated we lose sense of ourselves. We are totally into the activity, whether reading a great book, watching a fascinating movie, or working through a problem or puzzle that has captured our attention. The object of that attention becomes the entire universe. It is as if we are in a bubble that we are permitted to remain inside so long as we focus only on its contents. Extrinsic motivation of any kind makes us self-conscious. It bursts the bubble. Intellectually, it is like holding up a mirror. Once we look at ourselves, it is very difficult if not impossible to re-enter the bubble.

Later in the post I argue that eventually the bubble will burst of its own accord.  It can't last forever.   At this point extrinsic incentive is needed to contract anew with the student and hope another round of intrinsic motivation can ensue.   To make this concrete, in the course I had been teaching during retirement I had the students do weekly blogging.  I gave feedback on each post they wrote with extensive comments.  But I employed portfolio grading - at mid semester there would be a grade for the posts in the first half of the course and at end of semester there would be a grade for the remaining posts.  There would also be some comment to explain the grade given.  This certainly wasn't perfect.  But it is in the spirit of how we might teach to practice what is being preached here.

I want to change gears now. Let's focus on that unusual student who does learn in a deep way that is evident to others and in so doing learns to please himself or herself.   Does the way this student performs have an impact on the learning of other students?  Quite possibly, the answer is yes.   The following is about my experience in Social Studies, when I regularly raised my hand in response to questions posed by our teacher, and then would give an extensive answer, one that most other students in the class wouldn't have come up with.  It is from a post called, When Boys Had To Wear Ties To School.

Yet consciously, it was just me being me.  At that level I'm quite sure I was not trying to impress my classmates.  Was that naiveté or something else?  I did learn near the end of 7th grade that it can cut the other way.  We had autograph books which we got others in our class to sign, after saying something they felt about the person.  One girl wrote that I made her feel uncomfortable in class.  Had I gotten many such comments, I might have changed my in-class behavior.  With just this one comment, while it bothered me, I didn't make any adjustment at all. 

That very good students might intimidate more average students should come as no surprise.  Later, both in high school and then in college, I witnessed this intimidation as deliberate, a kind of trash talking by nerds. When the nerds are themselves friendly with each other it may be no-harm-no-foul.  Otherwise it might be a defense mechanism to hide being socially inept in other ways.  More recently, I've had some friends in Facebook tell me that I was a positive role model for them academically, encouraging them to apply themselves more. Fifty plus years after the fact, I'm willing to admit the possibility though I'm still skeptical about it in this instance.  The overall point is this.  There can be externalities in how the behavior of one student impacts the learning of the other.  A full analysis would aggregate those and then consider the benefits and costs.  It is insufficient to simply consider the benefits for the winners in the meritocratic lottery. 

The same issue can be applied to our national politics, where there seems to be much anger and resentment by Conservatives aimed at Liberal elites, with the Liberals too smug to realize they are causing this reaction and/or blaming it entirely on the media that over hypes what Liberals are trying to achieve.  I wrote about this in a post called Unintentionally Making Others Feel Stupid.  An evident solution to this issue would be to have Liberals communicate a sense of humility on the matter.  But with what now feels like a virtual civil war between Republicans and Democrats, I doubt that such a concession can or will be made in the near future.

The last issue I'll take up here is about the role of meritocracy in school and what graduates earn in the labor market thereafter.   In a post called Pluck or Luck I wrote the following:

The next day I stumbled onto a Web site that articulates The Just World Theory, and makes reference to a book from 1980 called The Belief in a Just World: A Fundamental Delusion.  That the book is from more than 30 years ago suggests the issue has been with us for quite some time.  The Just World Theory leaves out any role for luck whatsoever.  People get what they deserve.  It is an extreme form of hindsight bias.

Zick Rubin of Harvard University and Letitia Anne Peplau of UCLA have conducted surveys to examine the characteristics of people with strong beliefs in a just world. They found that people who have a strong tendency to believe in a just world also tend to be more religious, more authoritarian, more conservative, more likely to admire political leaders and existing social institutions, and more likely to have negative attitudes toward underprivileged groups. To a lesser but still significant degree, the believers in a just world tend to "feel less of a need to engage in activities to change society or to alleviate plight of social victims."

I want to confront this with some very particular data, which I used the last time I taught, back in fall 2019.  On the second worksheet of this Excel workbook there is salary data from 2018 for Econ department Assistant Professors and Specialized Faculty (teaching faculty not on the tenure track).  There is some discussion of those data in this post to the course Website.   Also included for comparison is my salary from back in 1980, when I first started at Illinois as an Assistant Professor on the tenure track, with an inflation adjustment that is imperfect but workable. The reader should get the message that in 1980 I was earning less in real terms than specialized faculty were earning when teaching in 2018, and assistant professors in 2018 were earning a helluva lot more.  This is one simple snapshot of a much larger phenomenon. The increasing income inequality in the society overall has lifted incomes within the top 10% of the distribution substantially. Is that windfall justice or mere happenstance?  If the latter, shouldn't those benefiting from the windfall be willing to accept substantially less in compensation? That question was meant in a normative sense.  In a positive sense, do we actually expect that?  I surely don't.

Let me wrap up.  I could have written a somewhat different post, one that focuses on core competencies - being able to read with meaning, being comfortable in having an open conversation that isn't mediated by a smart phone, having a good enough people network to be able to go ask for help from someone who is able and willing to provide it, and perhaps some others as well.  If those core competencies were there, then perhaps layering meritocracy in school on top of that wouldn't be so bad.  But if those core competencies aren't there, then what are we doing when talking about meritocracy?  I chose to write the post as I did, because people compensate for their own deficiencies and we should be aware of the typical forms that those compensations take.  Yet the point remains the same.  What's fundamental is the need to address those deficiencies.  Meritocracy then becomes mere window dressing.  Let's focus on the fundamentals.

Monday, September 05, 2022

A Flight of Fancy

A little boy
Inside an old man
Wanted a toy
Catch as catch can.

One with string
And folded paper
So it can sing
And pull off the caper.

Flying a kite
Internal to the mind
Already in mid flight
Then he can unwind.

A simple thing
The joy it can give
What memories bring
So childhood can live.




Monday, August 29, 2022

A Stab at Writing Fiction

Adventures Of The Minute Women

For the past month or so, I've been working on writing a novelette with the intent of publishing one chapter a week. There is enough written now that you can get started with it if you'd like.
 
It's a very idealistic (wishful thinking) story of how our national politics might play out, with the change agents coming from outside of the political arena. 
 
The chapters and the preface are available in two different formats. One is as blog posts, where there is the usual scrolling. The other is as pdf files, which have page numbers. The latter can be read online or downloaded. The Navigating The Site tab explains how to access these.
 
Enjoy!

 

Na Na Na Na Hey Hey Goodbye

From the bully pulpit
To the pulpit of a bully
If he is a culprit
Then prosecute him fully.
#AboveTheLawOrGuffawGuffaw

Monday, August 22, 2022

When You Can't Triangulate The Information

A source you don't trust tells the truth
Believing them is just so uncouth
So what do you do
Do you tend to eschew
Then look for something strong to mix with the vermouth?
#TiredOutByNewsThatDisagreesWithOurPriorViews

Monday, August 15, 2022

The Writer Does The Work So The Reader Doesn't Have To --- Really?

Proofreading such a difficult task
It's tempting to take out a flask
A remark ad hominem
About the evil homonym
In its glare the author doesn't bask.
#TotallyUninvitingEditingYourOwnWriting

Monday, August 08, 2022

Jestation

Is there a value add
With a joke that's incredibly bad?
An audible groan
Followed by a moan
Then the smile appears showing he's glad.
#HowElseCanWePreserveOurSanity

Monday, August 01, 2022

Mother Nature Sending Us A Message

The lull after a storm
Calm which is not the norm
But then comes the noise
Creativity it destroys
The blather makes us conform.
#TheMorningRoutineAHideousScene

Sunday, July 31, 2022

When A Bob Dylan Song Repeatedly Plays In Your Head

Beginning the day with a lark
After it stopped being dark
He tried to live last night's dream
Or so it would seem
A hippie finding new friends in the park.
#ItsAllOverNowBabyBlue

Friday, July 29, 2022

Why There Is Entropy

Sometimes you just guess
The start of making a mess
But when you do not see
What remains is mystery.
#ThePlotSickens

Thursday, July 28, 2022

Dr. Suess for Senior Citizens

The Wump of Gump
Met the Wimp of Gimp
Who was sitting on a tree stump
As he was weary from his limp.
#WhatGoesAroundComesAround

Wednesday, July 27, 2022

So Many One Liners That We Remember

No talent for being a gaucho
He tried to imitate Groucho
To ward off a pip
He aimed for a quip
About Mr. Potato Head on the couch-o.
#IdWalkAMileForACalomel

Tuesday, July 26, 2022

Moving Your Mindset Temporally

Living in the future
Or instead in the past
A wound needing a suture
Or a wonderful repast.
#ThePresentTenseIsTooIntense

Monday, July 25, 2022

See What I Mean?

Why can't they invent
Something that will prevent
Eyeglasses from smudging?
For now I'm begrudging
A process that won't relent.
#WhenYourGazeIsInAHaze

Sunday, July 24, 2022

Going Off Your Rocker As A Rational Choice

This is a sequel to my Simon Says - Malaise post.  I actually tried to write a different sequel first, about the next steps in fully engaging in the virtual civil war with the Republicans, for which I sketched some preliminary ideas in that Simon Says post. But I found myself with a full case of writer's block.  I questioned whether I had sufficient expertise to write such a post in a convincing way.  The last time I taught, fall 2019, I supposedly did have some expertise in college teaching, I found my ability to influence student learning quite limited.  Consequently, it seemed pure hubris on my part to expect stronger results in another domain where the expertise is lacking. Certainly, I have many speculations about the topic, each of which make sense to me.  But to persuade others you need more than speculation. So, for now I'm putting that post aside.

Instead, I'm going to focus on the other option in the earlier post, complete disengagement from politics and the news.  Do you really need to go off your rocker to completely disengage?  While I don't want to give my punchline just yet, I can provide a partial answer here.  For certain types of people this is how it's done.  I'm one of those.  For others who aren't one of these types, tuning out in this way may be much harder.  If so, there is less to commend it as a course of action.  The kibitzing about the politics has become a form of social interaction.  In this age of Covid, maybe it is a necessary way to interact with friends.  To the extent that somebody needs to feel socially connected as a way of being whole, tuning out then comes at too high a price to the psyche.

What I intend to do here is to bring in a set of disparate sources and then try to make sense of them when taken together.  Let me begin with this opinion piece, Taking the Magic Out of Magic Mushrooms.  The piece is about using what we used to call hallucinogenic drugs, or their synthetic substitutes, to combat depression.  It's an interesting read. 

While reading this piece, I asked myself whether I would like to take some magic mushrooms now, if I were provided the opportunity to do so.  At this time, I'm undecided on the answer to that question.  Certainly, there is curiosity about what would happen.  But with the various aches and pains I have now as well as my concerns about U.S. politics and Covid, my personal equilibrium is more fragile than I would like and I'm wary of upsetting it.   The piece did cause me to reflect about depression, as I've had prior experience with it during adolescence, once in high school, then again in college.

Indeed, over the years I've written several posts about depression, some which might still be worth reading.  This one, written soon after Robin Williams committed suicide, got some appreciative comments from Facebook friends, Depression in Performing Artists as a Reflection on Ourselves.  In my experience there clearly was a linkage between depression and "environmental factors", with depression resulting from feeling trapped with no way out. The question then is how to prevent this from happening, if at all possible or to find a way out, however unlikely.  This next one was written after having a bad experience in teaching during fall 2016, where I also had a bad experience the previous fall. (I was only teaching one course a year in retirement.)  It was beginning to look like the new normal and that was getting me down, as I put a lot of energy and attention into the teaching.  While ultimately I didn't fall into depression, and I taught again in fall 2017 and fall 2019, I needed to get my head oriented to something entirely different - Putting My Brain In Mothballs.  This last one I wrote in spring 2020, so after the pandemic had started and after reading many pieces about it causing anxiety and depression in students.  I had actually seen that in my students during fall 2019.  The situation was bad ahead of time.  Clearly the pandemic made it much worse.  I thought that people with more experience who had depression in the past and learned coping skills to ward it off should make those overt to current students.  So I wrote,  Fending Off Depression - My Take.

Now I want to move on and consider when the environmental factors are mainly one's own health, but for the moment not consider prior mental health illness.  I will do that below.  Our healthcare system seems to provide at least some monitoring of a patient's potential depression, while being treated for chronic illness and/or after the patient has reached a certain age.  The image below is taken from the healthcare portal my provider uses, under the tab labelled Preventative Care.  


I find it reassuring to see the flu vaccine there.  Some preventative care is pretty ordinary stuff.  I'm not sure what the Annual Fall Assessment is supposed to be.  I do have an annual checkup with my primary care physician, usually around my birthday in January, though as of late he has been hard to schedule and it has been later than that.  I was surprised when I saw the Annual Depression Screening, the first time I saw it.  When I clicked it to find out about the previously done dates, I learned that those were visits to my oncologist.  I received radiation treatment for prostate cancer in 2018.  Since then we have been in monitoring mode, to make sure the cancer is not returning.  At first, the visits were every three months.  I have since "graduated" to a visit every six months.  I have such a visit next week.

During treatment, which was daily on weekdays, for a total of 44 treatments, I would see the doctor on Wednesday after the treatment was over.  Between those a nurse would do a quick examination of vitals and related matters. As part of the examination I would be asked - are you depressed?  I came up with this pat response.  Of course I'm depressed.  Everybody in America is depressed, but it's politics that's the cause not the cancer.  Sometimes the techs who would administer the radiation treatment would ask me the question as we walked from the waiting room to the room that had the Tomography machine.  Over time they learned that I was a Yankees fan.  After the Yankees lost to the Red Sox in the playoffs, I said I was really depressed.  Everybody got a good laugh.  

Prostate cancer itself, especially when it has been detected early, should not be a cause of depression.  It is eminently treatable, with a high likelihood of remission. And the symptoms are comparatively mild - fatigue during the day that is remedied with a nap and having to go to the bathroom more frequently to pee. The latter persists after treatment and as getting up at night to go to the bathroom becomes routine, a sound sleep is harder to come by so the fatigue persists as well for that reason.  But an MRI done prior to treatment suggested there might be other cancer spots outside of the prostate. That the cancer might have spread to nearby bone did a number on my head.  For the first time in my life, I seriously contemplated my own mortality and there is no doubt I became very anxious about my health.   Coupled with that was the insurance company refusing to pay for more sophisticated testing that would diagnose what was really going on.  I became frustrated by that as the doctor seemed frustrated as well.  

Ultimately, it was the right decision for the insurance company to turn down these advanced tests. It encouraged my doctor to consult with a different radiologist than the one who had initially read the MRI.  Apparently, a spot with arthritis can show up in an MRI and look much like a spot with cancer, especially to the untutored eye. One has to take a more holistic view of the patient's health to get an accurate reading. In my case what the MRI and a subsequent bone scan showed is that I am riddled with arthritis in a variety of locations in my body, but the cancer itself was contained within the prostate. The awareness of the true situation prevented depression from ensuing, even if from time to time when the arthritis is bad I start to feel sorry for myself and then can be self-indulgent.  When the more severe pain passes, I go back to being me as I ordinarily am.

Let me turn to prior mental health issues as a potential cause of depression, and with that offer up a warning both about labels with mental illness and with causality.  (Does mental illness cause depression or does depression cause mental illness?)  Perhaps the most famous such case is that of Vincent Van Gogh.  I found the Irving Stone book, Lust for Life, a good read.  Though it is historical fiction, it is based on the letters Vincent wrote to his brother Theo.  The movie based on the book is also not bad.  When I was a kid I liked Kirk Douglas as an actor.  As an adult I grew into thinking of the Douglas approach as over-acting.  In the role of Vincent Van Gogh, however, the Douglas style works as it helps to convey the intensity in Van Gogh's personality, even prior to any of his manic episodes. Van Gogh was said to have epilepsy, though in doing a Google search I saw that view contested, with his behavior better explained by chronic malnutrition and excessive drinking.  Who knows?  Van Gogh ultimately committed suicide. Before that, he surely was experiencing some kind of mental pain. 

Another famous case is that of John Nash.  Sylvia Nasar's book, A Beautiful Mind, is worthwhile reading and I believe gives a good picture of what Nash was really like. In contrast, the movie version while entertaining seemed entirely other than the book, in part because it got caught up in finding a way to externalize Nash's hallucinations.  Nash had schizophrenia.  The book talks about linkages between schizophrenia and creativity, particularly among mathematicians.  When I was a graduate student at Northwestern in economics, I remember a presentation by the game theorist Lloyd Shapley, not for the content of the talk but because his physical presence struck me as that of somebody who was truly crazy.  Maybe he didn't get much sleep the night before or perhaps there was some other benign explanation for what I saw.  I know nothing of Shapley's personal life, so can't really comment about the cause here.  Nonetheless, this sense of linkage between extreme creativity and mental illness survives in present day thinking and should be noted. Getting back to Nash, after his schizophrenia diagnosis, Nash was put on medication that held the disease in check.  But the meds also suppressed his creativity, which gave him a reason for not taking the pills.  Was this tension between creativity and living with a sense of normalcy a source of depression?  Perhaps it was.  Nash died in a car accident, where he was a passenger. There is no information about his mental state in that cause of death. 

There is some history of mental illness in my family on my mother's side.  In the early 1930s, my grandfather jumped out of the window of their apartment in Berlin, an attempted suicide.  He survived this.  (He and my grandmother later died in a concentration camp.)  To explain why he did this, my mother said he had a premonition that Hitler was coming.  Whether this premonition itself was due entirely to external causes or, instead, if my grandfather was "crazy" in some way is impossible to know now. 

My mother herself had a very strong personality.  I described her as something of a bulldozer in this post. Growing up, I attributed much of how she went about things to having been an adolescent in Nazi Germany.  It didn't occur to me at the time that there might be genetic explanations for her behavior.  Sometime later, when our younger son was in daycare, he got tested and then diagnosed with a mild form of autism, Asperger's Syndrome if you will. When I read up a little on that, particularly the controlling behaviors that results from an inability to adjust to changing environments, I thought it described my mom quite well.  That felt like a revelation.  Further, though I don't believe I'm controlling in this same way, I did exhibit some of the symptoms as a teen.  When I received counseling for my depression in tenth grade, much time was spent on getting me to make good eye contact with the counselor. Beforehand, I would shy away from that, particularly when with authority figures I didn't otherwise know. It was noticeable.  My brother reported remembering me doing that in a recent family Zoom call.  The counseling was effective that way.  Whether it also helped me inwardly with the causes for the behavior I'm still unsure of that, 50+ years later.  Nonetheless, I'm fairly certain that I still have Autism Spectrum Disorder, though perhaps a high functioning variety. 

While it might not be as highly regarded among research psychologists, Myers-Briggs typing remains popular among management consultants and those who have received such consultation.  I was tested back in 2003 prior to attending the Frye Leadership Institute and learned that my type is INTP.   Is there some correlation between being this type and having Asperger's?  I would guess there is, though perhaps it would be better to have all the NT types aggregated before considering this correlation.  The following is from a post called Going Against Type:

Sir Ken Robinson in this delightful and provocative Ted Talk called Do schools kill creativity? says that professors are unlike their students in that the professors live in their minds while their students live in the real world.  (Sounds familiar, doesn't it?)  Professors tend to teach the subject matter and not individualize their content depending on the student's personality type.  In so doing, are they actually targeting their own personality type (which is very likely to be NT)?  If so, what of the poor students who are unlucky enough to take the course though they are SFs? 

A bit earlier I wrote a post call The Professor Mind, which aimed at giving more flesh to Ken Robinson's description of the professor.  Some of the post is taken up with the nature of intellectual inquiry and then getting stuck in the process.  Getting stuck is a normal thing.  So, one who lives the life of the mind needs to develop methods for getting unstuck.  There is a wonderful book, though I found it hard to penetrate initially, called On Not Being Able to Paint.  The author, Marion Milner, makes the argument (perhaps only implicitly) that we rely too much on our rational selves in our thinking.  We need our subconscious selves to be active to release our creativity.  The rational self often blocks that out. This is why sleeping on a problem where you are stuck can possibly reveal new and better approaches to problem solving after you awaken.  The dreaming attacks the problem in ways that can't be done while awake.  Milner doesn't talk about drugs inducing this dream state, but if the reader goes back to consider the Magic Mushrooms piece, perhaps the good consequences about curing depression result from this release of the subconscious self.  Alternatively, perhaps it is possible that those who live the life of the mind become depressed when working on a problem they find important only to get stuck and then finding no way to get unstuck.  The simple answer - work on some other problem - has then become unacceptable because the problem itself is too compelling.

I want to make the argument personal again.  I'll do this by juxtaposing the consequences of aging on the professor mind.  At the time I attended the Frye Institute I was 48, a good deal older than many of the others, who were in their early to mid 30's.  It was noticeable to me how much mentally quicker they were. Though I was their age in a pre-Internet world, so didn't have all the varied information sources coming at me in way where I needed to make sense of it all, I did recall to an even earlier time in life - high school - where I surely was mentally quick.  This sort of slowing down over time is likely inevitable.  Nonetheless, I found it worrisome when at Frye, then somewhat humbling after that.  Some years later, I can't remember how many now, the senior moments started to happen.  It is frustrating to feel that you know something, but can't recall the name or the face, or whatever else you are trying to remember.  What comes next in this dimension?

My mother had Alzheimer's or some other form of dementia.  That last five years of her life, she couldn't recognize me when I went to visit her in Boca Raton.  I later learned from my brother, who is an MD, that she actually showed signs of dementia more than 10 years earlier, but perhaps her doctors couldn't separate out the consequences of that versus her reaction to the strong medication she was on.  Since my prostate cancer, I've feared that I would get an early onset of dementia. Recently, I did some Google searching to learn there is a positive correlation between autism and dementia.  Likewise, I'd suspect such a correlation between the professor mind and dementia.

Back in the 1980s when I was doing economic theory full time, there was a tee shirt that graduate students studying economic theory would wear - Do You Live In Your Model?  The insight in that question is that you needed to mentally occupy your model for a sustained period of time, perhaps several months, before fully understanding the implications of the model and then being able to write up the results from that.  Of course, even with living in your model there still was the practical reality of day-to-day life.  For that you needed to live in the real world.  So it was necessary to be able to mentally transition between the two.  Time of day was largely the determinant of which world you'd occupy, though there are certain real-world tasks, washing the dishes is my canonical example, that may be done autonomously in which case that is time that can be devoted to living in your model. 

When in the mid 1990s I gradually switched careers, ultimately to become an administrator for online learning on campus, there was some change in the living-in-the-model notion but maybe not as much as one might guess.  To the extent that much of the job was talking one-on-one with other people on campus who were engaged with online learning in some capacity, it was a delightful alternative to pondering deeply (or otherwise) while sitting in my office.  Much less satisfying were the various committee meetings or staff meetings that I had to attend and ditto for the myriad meetings with vendors. Given this, it is perhaps surprising that I flourished in group interaction online, which was opt in by the participants, who had a substantial prior interest in online learning.  (Further, it was purely asynchronous and completely text-based, so unlike much group interaction now.) It seemed I was a natural for this sort of communication.  Indeed, I probably got invited to work in SCALE by how others perceived my participation in the discussion group held in FirstClass. At the time, with very young kids at home, this activity also served as a proxy for a social life with adult interaction. 

While this paper was written before all of us were using the Internet, I've found that Kenneth Bruffee's "Collaborative Learning and the "Conversation of Mankind" very useful in categorizing the relationship between thinking and communication.  It is helpful to consider it all as conversation. Reflective thinking is then internalized conversation while writing is externalized conversation.  And there is an interplay between the pieces so that all the pieces become part of one larger conversation. In this way, instead of living in my model, what I did when producing research in economic theory, as a writer I am trying to produce a coherent narrative for a blog post such as this one, with most of the work done in what Donald Murray called prewriting.  

Yet as I've gotten older this has become more difficult for me.  Either my skills have deteriorated with age, or I choose topics that are too ambitious for me to make an interesting contribution, or some combination of the two.  As of late, I find I get more satisfaction from reading fiction.  There is a narrative that plays out.  While the true creator is the writer, the reader can be thought of as a co-creator.  There is no coherent narrative unless the reader makes sense of it all.   Most recently I read The Master and Margarita by Mikhail Bulgakov, which I found on my son's bookshelf.  (He must have taken a course in Russian literature to fulfill a gen ed requirement.)  This was a paperback version that I could read while sitting away from the computer.  I've been making a conscious effort to spend more of my day offline, if I can.  The time spent doing that is enjoyable.

* * * * *

With all of this as background, I'm now ready to discuss the issue to which going off your rocker might provide the solution, at least for people with Asperger's or like descriptors that I considered above. The issue is how our national politics is impacting my mental health. Several times a day I find myself in what I'd call a daydream rage.  Instead of the charm of a Walter Mitty, I find my mental projection wanting to take a baseball bat and swatting the head of certain Supreme Court Justices and Members of Congress. I have other manifestations of this sort, there is no need to elaborate about them here, that together occur several times a day.  If I could willfully block them out, say by reading good fiction, there wouldn't be a problem. I could control the matter in that way.  

But I found that even when in the midst of reading The Master and Margarita these rages would occur.  Part of this is that my arthritis requires me to change my sitting position now and then and in the interlude there is time for other thoughts outside of the reading.  The other part is that after years of sitting in front of a computer screen for many hours a day, my ability to focus on one source of information and not search for other bits - check Facebook or email, etc. - is not nearly as strong as it used to be.  Maybe I can train myself to concentrate better.  But perhaps not.  And if not, these recurrent rages could become a long-term issue for me. 

I want to note that normal daydreams are essential and part of the productive process in generating a piece of writing or in any other creative activity. So, a daydream rage conceivably could be productive as well, as prelude to the Darwinian fight response.  But if repeatedly there is no actual fighting, only expressions of rage, and no apparent way to stop those expressions, then there would seem to be cause to fall into a deep depression. It is fear of that possibility that makes me want to look for other alternatives.  

The news I get comes from multiple sources.  I have an online subscription to the New York Times and the New Yorker.  Sometimes I hear what's on MSNBC as my wife is watching it in the other room.  And then I will scan what friends in Facebook have posted about what's happening, sometimes following the links they've included.  There is also national news, on occasion, in The Chronicle for Higher Education and Insider Higher Ed.  I want to observe that these sources frequently express the anger of others about the news, which sometimes stokes my own anger and at other times confirms that my anger is not an isolated case.  But it doesn't help to calm me down. Ask yourself, what would do that?  If you have similar multiple sources of news, could you go cold turkey on all of them? What then would take their place in filling out your day?

If I could create a narrative that I find completely absorbing, but keep it entirely in my head and/or make it up as I go along, with no requirement to make it coherent for others to understand, this might do the trick in warding off each daydream rage and keep me totally divorced from sources of news that might rekindle this internal desire to express intense anger. 

Is it possible to find such a narrative or is thinking it can be done merely self-delusion? And, if it were possible, would the process be irreversible? (A fantasy one might entertain is to be in some reverie which acts like suspended animation where the person can return to normal if and when our politics has returned from the abyss and functions more normally.)  Posing these questions is not difficult.  Answering them, however, is beyond me.  Instead, I will offer some conjectures.  

I would try two paths to be attempted alternatively.  Make a lot of progress with one and I can suspend trying the other path for as long as that progress lasts.  If only modest progress is being made, then switching to the alternative path would be to see if better progress can be made that way.  With either path I want to note that my mental model is to imitate how dementia develops in a patient.  Assuming that it happens gradually, with less and less outward orientation over time, as a result of the compelling nature of the inward orientation and the decline in ability in dealing with outward things that happens over time, which presumably accelerates with less practice of this sort. 

The first path I will term the productive path - working on creating a lifework that should be useful to others, Lanny Arvan's opus, so to speak.  The second path will be the drug-induced path - whether it's becoming a pothead or taking magic mushrooms on a repeated basis or some other such drug would, of course, matter a lot in implementation, but for this discussion it matters not much at all.  The underlying question that might drive pursuit along the second path is whether at this late age there are still important parts of my personality that have been underdeveloped and lack expression.  Can the drugs bring those out so they flourish fully?  And in the case of both paths, it's critical that the end not be visible from the start, so that it is unknown how long it will take to traverse the entire path. With that it is possible to imagine being fully occupied for an extended time while traversing the path.

I actually have a candidate for the productive path, based on some online learning ideas I wrote about years ago in a piece called Dialogic Learning Objects.  I have made some of these using Excel for teaching microeconomics.  A first step would be to develop a full curriculum this way, place them in some open repository for others to use, and keep on experimenting with form, function, and subject matter to engage me as the author.  This would require energy that I don't now seem to possess, but perhaps with some discipline I could learn to put in a full workday making these, while otherwise isolating myself from the rest of the world.   Prior to writing this piece I had the thought that others (mainly current college students with a nose for the subject matter) would be making these things and all my job would be is to get their attention for such a project.  Based on some recent experience I now think that alternative will be more difficult to achieve.  So why not do it all myself, instead?

Would going down the first path count as going off your rocker?  The isolating part might.  And if the objects produced ultimately get no other use, then continuing to produce them might seem at least a little bit nuts.  This gets to where the enjoyment in the creation lies.  Is it with knowing there will be ultimate use or does it simply mean pleasing oneself as the author?  That question itself might engage me for quite some time.

More people would probably agree that going down the second path does count as going off your rocker.  I will note, however, that pot was pretty ubiquitous when I was in college and LSD was rarer but not all that scarce.  My experience with these, mainly in college, also some in graduate school, is that I never lost my sense of self or my ability to think rationally and I never had a hallucination - seeing something that wasn't there at all.  In other words, it was still me, whether on drugs or not, though some of the senses were amplified.  But then it might be that the dosage or frequency of use determined this.  Would the second path require more intensive usage?  I don't know.  I know that it's been a long time for me not having done any of these drugs.  (More recently I have had Vicodin, for example when I had a kidney stone that wouldn't pass.  My recollection is that it mainly impacted my dreams but didn't do so much for when I was awake.  Also, it made me constipated.) 

The second path might entail a variety of health risks.  Those need to be compared to the risks of the onset of depression as a result of these rather frequent bouts of anger.  When I say rational choice in my title, I mean that such a cost-benefit analysis has been done and, at least in some cases, the second path will be preferable to doing nothing, which then might enable the depression.  The first path may seem safer, though shutting down communication with friends when you are otherwise not evidently needing to do so might entail its own risks.

At present the entire analysis is hypothetical.  I have not decided whether to do this.  My personal inertia is fairly great.  Doing nothing is still the likely outcome for me.  But I think it useful to work through this alternative.  And now, having written this piece, maybe I'll feel ready to write the other piece, about fully waging this virtual civil war.  In the next week or two I'll see if I'm up to writing that post as well.


Monday, July 18, 2022

When Those On A Crusade Finally Wake Up

When you're sure you're right but you aren't
The results can be truly abhorrent
Though now non compos mentis
When you come to your senses
There will be tears that are more like a torrent.
#UntilThenItWillBeANightmare

Sunday, July 17, 2022

When Plagiarism Is Good

Writing to which people will abscond
Might still make the author rather fond
For better the insight
Than to get into a fight
Then watch from above and beyond.
#CopyAndPasteWithNoLinkToTheSource

Wednesday, July 13, 2022

What to Eat and What to Wear

The sneakers were chatting with the socks
How about some bagels and lox?
But the socks were none to keen
They wanted their wearer to be lean.

The sneakers agreed with that
Though thought that if their owner were fat
That then they would hardly be used
And their lining would not be abused.

The conversation continued like that
With each tit followed by a tat
Then finally they each could root
On giving their wearer the boot.
#MuchAdoAboutTheShoe

Tuesday, July 12, 2022

To Accompany That Cup Of Coffee

Starting the day with a treat
One that is moderately sweet
Makes an inner smile
That will last a while
And helps make the rest of the day replete.
#ALittleCheatThatTastesGoodToEat

Thursday, July 07, 2022

When Our Institutions Fail

Pushing on a string
Has become the new thing
Where we need cessation
It's a path to frustration.
#WhereWhatUsedToMakeSenseNoLongerDoes

Wednesday, July 06, 2022

Mental Blocks

When it's your intention
To engage in an invention
But you're experiencing a lull
And feeling rather dull

Either conclude that you're a fake
Or give yourself a break
For the crux of the matter
Is to not become a mad hatter.

After that is done
Then go back to square one
And give it another try
Though you might just wonder why.

When you're feeling fresh
Your ideas tend to mesh
Onward and upward you go
Even if the pace is slow.
#AsTheNewsDoesNotAmuseYouShouldChooseToSingTheBlues

Tuesday, July 05, 2022

The Necessity of Failing Anew

Building from scratch
When there isn't an itch
Is hardly a natch
Yet needs more than a twitch.

Wandering in the desert
Or so it would seem
Really must come first
On the road to redeem.

In the meantime we chronicle
All that is broken
It might appear comical
As if someone has misspoken.

Yet wanting an answer
Before knowing which problem to solve
Is a form of mental cancer
And things will continue to devolve.
#WhenItIsBrokeARealFixWillBeSlowInComing

Sunday, July 03, 2022

How to Explain the Food Chain

The relationship between predator and prey
Remains remarkably true to this day
The prey keeps out of sight
So the predator can't take a bite.
#ForestallingTheInevitable

Saturday, July 02, 2022

Playthings

The little boy
Inside the old man
Wanted a new toy
Catch as catch can.

A paper airplane
Or a spinning top
Simple joy
Goody goody gumdrop.
#ChildhoodDelights

Friday, July 01, 2022

Merrily Merrily

As in the gentle stream
Life is but a dream
The only way to go
Is to take your oars and row.
#ToStayAfloatRemainInTheBoat

Thursday, June 30, 2022

What's Cooking?

The sweet potato
And the green tomato
Were looking to spice things up.

They spied an old mutt
Near the pitch and putt
But they were hoping to find a pup.
#ItWasADoggoneShame

Wednesday, June 29, 2022

Grumpty Trumpty

Grumpty Trumpty seemed to have it all
Then Grumpty Trumpty had a precipitous fall
All the sycophants and all the henchmen
Couldn't get Grumpty Trumpty to simply say when.
#HoistWithHisOwnPetard

Tuesday, June 28, 2022

Simon Says - Malaise

We seem to be living a dual existence.  One part is normalcy, whatever that means.  There is worry about the pandemic, the economy, Ukraine, and other concerns as well.  But these things weren't going to disappear from our awareness just because we wanted them to. There are always some worries.  Day to day existence for most folks hasn't changed that much, say since January 1. This is what I mean by normalcy.  The other part, however, is quite different, at least in the United States.  We seem to be in a virtual civil war, but Democrats are only waking up to that now.  Take this line seriously - all is fair in love and war.  Consider Republicans in Congress as virtual soldiers in that civil war.  Putting two and two together gives a way to make sense of their behavior.  Ditto for the talk show folks, who act as provocateurs and rabble-rousers rather than as analysts of what is going on in our politics for viewers to get a better understanding.  

If this description of a dual existence is reasonably correct, then many questions follow for ordinary Democrats, who are now seeing the situation for what it is. And here let me bring in some bits from higher education, particularly about the mental health crisis for students, which predates the pandemic.  There will be parallel mental health issues for ordinary Democrats, who will see this virtual civil war as the system failing...big time.  One possible way to manage one's own mental well being is to withdraw from the politics and live a heads down existence.  Obviously, this is far from perfect.  But it does allow one to not be constantly consumed with anger.  The opposite would be to fully engage in virtual civil war activities.  If most family, friends, and work colleagues are not yet doing that it could be a very lonely undertaking, at least initially.  It may make you appear fringe to others who know you.   The malaise I'm referring to in the post title comes from being unsure of which of these paths to follow or if there is yet another way that combines a sense of agency about this virtual civil war with a calm rather than angry presence.  Searching for that elusive third path can contribute to the delay in making a choice and makes the malaise that much greater.  

Before I get to what fully engaged in virtual civil war activities might mean, I want to take a step into the past, about a post I wrote back in late September 2020.  At the time of the post the NY Times had recently uncovered Trump's tax returns and the take away from that was startling.  In particular, Trump held a massive amount of debt and being President helped him service that debt and in the future might help him roll it over. I wish Democrats kept up hammering on Trump being so financially in the hole from then to now, because it is a big deal and the public needs a constant reminder of it.  Yet, as with much that is Trump, the latest news seems to crowd out past transgressions.  As far as I know, the connection between Stop the Steal and Trump's tax returns hasn't been made in the NY Times or elsewhere.  It needs to become a commonly discussed matter, perhaps the center of attention.  

The other big thing at that time was that Amy Coney Barrett had been nominated to the Supreme Court, but the vote on her approval had not yet taken place in the Senate.  This was less than six weeks before the coming Presidential election.  The post I wrote was called Honor Among Thieves And Among Supreme Court Justices.  The post discusses the following question.  If Supreme Court candidates nominated by Trump were aware of his financial indiscretions as well as his obstruction of justice during the Mueller investigation (and how could they not be so aware) what is their subsequent responsibility regarding accepting the nomination and then making rulings on the court?  This is the penultimate paragraph from that post. 

However, I know many people who feel now that America is going to hell in a hand basket. Trump has dramatically accelerated this decline.  Creating real surprise by going against the forecast in a way that is personally costly but also evidently aimed at respecting the rule of law, might be a way for America to get past this dreadful moment.  For that to happen, Trump needs to lose this election and the Supreme Court needs to certify that.  Sacrificing the national well being so as to get rid of the Roe v. Wade decision, also can't happen.  It's clear that has been motivating the recent rapid pace of Federal judicial appointments.  But it is equally clear that the myopic focus on this objective is bringing the country down.

That was then.  This is now.  The country has been brought down, way down.  One further observation needs to be made.  The system provides instruments to discipline those in government who have violated their oath of office.  But clearly the system is broken now and we simply can't expect it to fix itself.  In particular, impeachment can't work in a country where the President, Members of Congress, and Justices of the Supreme Court put politics before country.  So, other forms of punishment are needed if there is to be a credible deterrent to future egregious violations.  These other forms would amount to ordinary citizens taking the law into their own hands.  Under normal circumstances, that is to be avoided.  The Ox-Bow Incident, a book and movie from long ago, offers a grim reminder of the terrible things that can happen.  One need not focus exclusively on the events of January 6, 2021 to consider this issue.  But if we are truly in a virtual civil war, these other forms of punishment will become necessary as a way to operate, because nothing else will work as credible deterrent.  

* * * * *

Democrats are playing a game of catch-up in prosecuting this virtual civil war.  Further, since ordinary citizens taking the law into their own hands will be illegal much of the time, it can't be the Democratic Party itself that sanctions these activities, at least not initially.  So I am going to imagine a not-yet-formed parallel organization whose purpose is to wage this virtual civil war on the part of Democratic voters and those who care  about particular issues, notably abortion, without otherwise being affiliated with a party.  It might be useful to name this organization so people can more readily identify it.  I am not great at coming up with names, but I will offer this one up as a placeholder - the Minute Women. 

Some of the goals I'll suggest for the Minute Women are as follows:

  • To get the three Supreme Court Justices appointed while Trump was President off the Court, either voluntarily or otherwise.
  • To get the Republicans in Congress who openly or tacitly endorsed Stop the Steal to confess their wrongdoing and then accept punishment for it, either by paying a hefty fine or by serving time in jail. 
  • To have Congress pass new legislation that embraces the precepts of Roe and to have the newly constituted Supreme Court find that law Constitutional. 
  • Likewise, Congress needs new legislation to undo the Citizens United decision as well as the Shelby County vs. Holder decision on the use of the Voting Rights Act.  That act needs to be used vigorously in all states that have recently passed voter restriction legislation.  
  • Ultimately to create child organizations in each state to fight the right-wing agenda at the state level.

This list could be made longer, but it suffices for the sake of illustration. The question then is how the Minute Women should act in ways to realize these goals.   I will get to that in the next paragraph.  First I want to make the following assumption, which I think is reasonable.  While the Republicans in high political office have found it acceptable to wage a virtual civil war, they do not want it to escalate into a real civil war.  They will lose if this happens, on a personal level because there are many perqs of office that would no longer be forthcoming, and on a national level because they are really the minority party, as the popular vote in recent Presidential elections demonstrate.  This is not to say there is no risk of escalation into an actual civil war.  Both sides have incentive to push as hard as they can, as long as it remains a virtual civil war.  So, there are elements of a game of chicken here.

The Minute Women will actually be two distinct units.  The first, the overt arm, will make the case as publicly as possible that it's not just Trump who is a criminal.  The Republicans in Congress who embraced Stop the Steal are co-conspirators, lending a cover off legitimacy where there shouldn't be any.  And the Supreme Court appointees made under Trump are tainted, remarkably so.  The honorable thing for them to do is to step down on their own accord.  Right wing media can also be part of this case, as they've shielded their followers from the illegality of what has been done. 

The second, the covert arm, will act to terrorize a small number of these Republicans, to pressure them to step down, in the case of the Supreme Court Justices, or to admit their culpability, in the case of Members of Congress.  Further, they will make it evident that the terrorism will persist until the goals, as articulated by the overt arm, have been met.  The hope would be that once that threat is evident, many Republicans will become compliant and/or quit, to avoid themselves becoming victims.

For this to work, there must be highly skilled professionals in each arm, fully versed in the mission, with a skill set that is capable of achieving the goals.  And the overt arm must have at most tacit knowledge of the covert arm's existence, so it is not legally responsible for the actions taken by the covert arm.  The details on how to do this are well beyond my knowledge.  But I trust that it is doable.  The issue is whether there is the will to go this route.  

* * * * *

Maureen Dowd's most recent column, The Radical Reign of Clarence Thomas, is disturbing in highlighting the role that Joe Biden played in Thomas' confirmation, as chair of the Senate Judiciary Committee, ultimately discounting the testimony of Anita Hill in the process.  In the present circumstances, it seems that Biden is a liability as President.  Ultimately, he too may have to step down, for the work of the Minute Women to succeed and ultimately the Democratic Party will have to embrace the tenets that the Minute Women put forward.  

What would an ordinary person like you or me do in service for the Minute Women.  I am not sure but I can say this, based on the small sample of friends I have in Facebook who have commented about the recent political events, invariably expressing their dismay and frustration.  Those feelings don't translate immediately into an endorsement for the Minute Women as a concept.  But, I think, people would be open to arguing the point.  When I say people here, I mean already friends in the Facebook sense.  I, for one, don't want to have such arguments on the open Internet with people I don't already know a little.  But maybe I can encourage others, who are younger than I am and have more energy than I have, to do just that.  I also expect there to be a fundraising aspect to this, though exactly how that would work I don't know.  And then somehow, there would need to a feedback loop created onto the usual Democratic politics.  

Would I feel in over my head if I did this?  Maybe I would.  The malaise I feel is real enough and there are reasons for that.  But, now that I've gotten this post out of my system, I do feel a little bit better.